The close clustering of probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflects a balanced map of 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats up in November 2026, with current totals at 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle. Multiple toss-ups and lean contests—such as open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, the vulnerable Republican incumbent in Nevada, and Democratic-held seats in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create pathways for net shifts of several seats in either direction. Recent ratings updates from forecasters highlight local factors like candidate recruitment, primary outcomes, and state-specific issues competing with broader midterm dynamics, while term limits and retirements add further variability. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could separate the leading ranges before election night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos gobernadores republicanos después de las elecciones intermedias de 2026?
¿Cuántos gobernadores republicanos después de las elecciones intermedias de 2026?
22–23 28%
24–25 24%
<22 21%
26–27 16%
$695,280 Vol.
$695,280 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
21%
22–23
28%
24–25
24%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
22–23 28%
24–25 24%
<22 21%
26–27 16%
$695,280 Vol.
$695,280 Vol.
2 nov 2026
<22
$50,084 Vol.
21%
22–23
$9,908 Vol.
28%
24–25
$34,477 Vol.
24%
26–27
$18,241 Vol.
16%
28–29
$558,213 Vol.
5%
30–31
$8,608 Vol.
1%
32+
$15,749 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.The close clustering of probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflects a balanced map of 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats up in November 2026, with current totals at 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle. Multiple toss-ups and lean contests—such as open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, the vulnerable Republican incumbent in Nevada, and Democratic-held seats in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create pathways for net shifts of several seats in either direction. Recent ratings updates from forecasters highlight local factors like candidate recruitment, primary outcomes, and state-specific issues competing with broader midterm dynamics, while term limits and retirements add further variability. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could separate the leading ranges before election night.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$695,280Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.The close clustering of probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflects a balanced map of 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats up in November 2026, with current totals at 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle. Multiple toss-ups and lean contests—such as open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, the vulnerable Republican incumbent in Nevada, and Democratic-held seats in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create pathways for net shifts of several seats in either direction. Recent ratings updates from forecasters highlight local factors like candidate recruitment, primary outcomes, and state-specific issues competing with broader midterm dynamics, while term limits and retirements add further variability. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could separate the leading ranges before election night.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$695,280Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The close clustering of probabilities around 22–25 Republican governors reflects a balanced map of 18 Republican and 18 Democratic seats up in November 2026, with current totals at 26 Republican and 24 Democratic governors entering the cycle. Multiple toss-ups and lean contests—such as open Republican-held seats in Georgia, Iowa, and Ohio, the vulnerable Republican incumbent in Nevada, and Democratic-held seats in Arizona, Kansas, and Wisconsin—create pathways for net shifts of several seats in either direction. Recent ratings updates from forecasters highlight local factors like candidate recruitment, primary outcomes, and state-specific issues competing with broader midterm dynamics, while term limits and retirements add further variability. Late polling shifts or turnout differences in these battlegrounds could separate the leading ranges before election night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Tendrá el Partido Demócrata más gobernaciones después de las elecciones de mitad de período de 2026?
63%
Sí
¿No ganarán los titulares republicanos de la Cámara entre cuatro y seis elecciones de nominación en el ciclo de 2026?
96%
Sí
¿El Partido Republicano tendrá menos de 190 escaños en la Cámara después de las elecciones de mitad de mandato de 2026?
23%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes