United Russia’s strong performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, including roughly 58 percent of the party-list vote and leads in over 200 single-member districts, underpins trader consensus around a 340–354 seat outcome. The party’s dominance in a tightly controlled wartime vote, record turnout near 59 percent, and exclusion of most opposition consolidated its position as the incumbent with broad institutional support. Final certification by the Central Election Commission and any last adjustments to seat allocation from redistributed mandates or threshold calculations remain the primary variables. Late shifts from recounts, disputes over occupied-territory results, or procedural reviews could still push totals into the 355+ range, though historical patterns and the party’s structural advantages make such moves unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Escaños de Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
¿Escaños de Rusia Unida en las próximas elecciones legislativas rusas?
$2,430,009 Vol.
$2,430,009 Vol.
340–354
93%
355+
6%
$2,430,009 Vol.
$2,430,009 Vol.
340–354
93%
355+
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
United Russia’s strong performance in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election, including roughly 58 percent of the party-list vote and leads in over 200 single-member districts, underpins trader consensus around a 340–354 seat outcome. The party’s dominance in a tightly controlled wartime vote, record turnout near 59 percent, and exclusion of most opposition consolidated its position as the incumbent with broad institutional support. Final certification by the Central Election Commission and any last adjustments to seat allocation from redistributed mandates or threshold calculations remain the primary variables. Late shifts from recounts, disputes over occupied-territory results, or procedural reviews could still push totals into the 355+ range, though historical patterns and the party’s structural advantages make such moves unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganará el Partido de los Pensionistas de Rusia por la Justicia Social al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia?
¿Obtendrá Rusia Unida (ER) entre el 55% y el 60% de los votos de lista de partido en las elecciones a la Duma Estatal de Rusia de 2026?
Elecciones en Rusia: ¿Rusia Unida gana en todas las regiones?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes