Trump's second-term veto total through 2027 hinges primarily on the balance of power after the 2026 midterms and the volume of major legislation reaching the president's desk. Narrow or divided congressional control increases the likelihood of spending bills, immigration measures, or appropriations packages that prompt vetoes, while unified Republican majorities tend to produce fewer clashes and more negotiated outcomes. Trader ranges cluster between 5-14 because historical patterns from the prior term show low single-digit vetoes under aligned government, yet recent legislative activity and potential gridlock introduce upside risk. Upcoming confirmation votes, debt-ceiling negotiations, and any late-session overrides could shift probabilities by clarifying whether Congress will test executive resistance or accommodate administration priorities.