Recent high-profile resignations have driven six UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026 so far or scheduled, aligning with trader consensus favoring six or seven total. Key triggers include Keir Starmer’s September 2026 departure from Holborn and St Pancras (by-election set for 8 October), Nigel Farage’s July resignation from Clacton amid standards scrutiny, Josh Simons stepping aside for Andy Burnham in Makerfield, Andrew Gwynne’s health-related exit from Gorton and Denton, and two Scottish seats vacated after the 2026 Scottish Parliament elections. Additional vacancies depend on further MP departures, recalls, or disqualifications before year-end, though no general election is due and procedural timelines limit rapid additions. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing weighs these patterns against historical base rates of mid-term by-elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántas elecciones parciales parlamentarias del Reino Unido en 2026?
¿Cuántas elecciones parciales parlamentarias del Reino Unido en 2026?
6 72%
7 23%
8 5.0%
10+ 2.1%
$32,359 Vol.
$32,359 Vol.
≤5
1%
6
72%
7
23%
8
5%
9
1%
10+
2%
6 72%
7 23%
8 5.0%
10+ 2.1%
$32,359 Vol.
$32,359 Vol.
≤5
1%
6
72%
7
23%
8
5%
9
1%
10+
2%
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 8, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-profile resignations have driven six UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026 so far or scheduled, aligning with trader consensus favoring six or seven total. Key triggers include Keir Starmer’s September 2026 departure from Holborn and St Pancras (by-election set for 8 October), Nigel Farage’s July resignation from Clacton amid standards scrutiny, Josh Simons stepping aside for Andy Burnham in Makerfield, Andrew Gwynne’s health-related exit from Gorton and Denton, and two Scottish seats vacated after the 2026 Scottish Parliament elections. Additional vacancies depend on further MP departures, recalls, or disqualifications before year-end, though no general election is due and procedural timelines limit rapid additions. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing weighs these patterns against historical base rates of mid-term by-elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Se celebrarán las elecciones de mitad de período de 2026 según lo programado?
¿Se emitirán entre 115 millones y 120 millones de votos en las elecciones de mitad de mandato de la Cámara de Representantes de EE. UU. de 2026?
¿Se convocarán elecciones parciales al próximo parlamento del Reino Unido antes del 31 de diciembre?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes