Illinois's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 25-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in his primary, in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's South Side Chicago base and suburban areas alongside limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal involving Jackson, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$54,342 Vol.
$54,342 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
98%
Partido Republicano
2%
$54,342 Vol.
$54,342 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$29,792 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$24,550 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 25-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in his primary, in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's South Side Chicago base and suburban areas alongside limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal involving Jackson, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$54,342Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 25-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in his primary, in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's South Side Chicago base and suburban areas alongside limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal involving Jackson, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$54,342Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 25-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson secured the nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Christian Maxwell, who prevailed in his primary, in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, citing the district's South Side Chicago base and suburban areas alongside limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A late-breaking scandal involving Jackson, significant health developments, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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