Bill Foster holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 11th congressional district race due to his long incumbency since 2013, consistent reelection margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, and the district’s D+6 partisan lean centered in Chicago suburbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have kept the contest noncompetitive. Foster maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter, the Elburn mayor who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Foster aligns with these fundamentals. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make an upset improbable absent unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$40,038 Vol.
$40,038 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Foster (D)
96%
Jeff Walter (R)
5%
$40,038 Vol.
$40,038 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Foster (D)
$19,900 Vol.
96%
Jeff Walter (R)
$20,138 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bill Foster holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 11th congressional district race due to his long incumbency since 2013, consistent reelection margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, and the district’s D+6 partisan lean centered in Chicago suburbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have kept the contest noncompetitive. Foster maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter, the Elburn mayor who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Foster aligns with these fundamentals. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make an upset improbable absent unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$40,038Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bill Foster holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 11th congressional district race due to his long incumbency since 2013, consistent reelection margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, and the district’s D+6 partisan lean centered in Chicago suburbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have kept the contest noncompetitive. Foster maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter, the Elburn mayor who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Foster aligns with these fundamentals. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make an upset improbable absent unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,038Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bill Foster holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 11th congressional district race due to his long incumbency since 2013, consistent reelection margins above 55 percent in recent cycles, and the district’s D+6 partisan lean centered in Chicago suburbs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting structural advantages that have kept the contest noncompetitive. Foster maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand, while Republican nominee Jeff Walter, the Elburn mayor who secured his party’s nomination in the March 2026 primary, trails significantly in resources and visibility. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Foster aligns with these fundamentals. A late national political shift, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and financial barriers make an upset improbable absent unforeseen developments before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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