Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-15
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-15
$37,426 Vol.
$37,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$37,426 Vol.
$37,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,352 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$18,074 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$37,426Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,426Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mary Miller secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Democrat Jennifer Todd in the November 3 general election for Illinois's 15th congressional district. The rural, central Illinois district stretches from the Champaign-Urbana area to Quincy and eastern St. Louis suburbs, a reliably conservative region that has supported Republican House candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Miller's strong primary performance and the district's partisan composition underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A major scandal, unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the race, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic pathways for Democratic gains before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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