Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and reported targeting of an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 64% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO. Strong revenue growth, including rapid run-rate increases and a recent $65 billion funding round at nearly $1 trillion valuation, supports the timeline as the company positions its Claude large language models against rivals ahead of a potential public listing. Typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows after confidential filings align with fall 2026, while underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley prepare the deal. Traders weigh market conditions and any last-minute regulatory or competitive shifts that could push the outcome later.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOctubre de 2026 63%
Noviembre de 2026 14%
Septiembre de 2026 10%
Junio de 2027 6%
Septiembre de 2026
10%
Octubre de 2026
63%
Noviembre de 2026
14%
Diciembre de 2026
5%
Enero de 2027
5%
Febrero de 2027
5%
Marzo de 2027
5%
Abril de 2027
4%
Mayo de 2027
5%
Junio de 2027
6%
Julio de 2027
4%
Agosto de 2027
4%
Septiembre de 2027
4%
Octubre de 2027
1%
Noviembre de 2027
4%
Diciembre de 2027
4%
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
4%
Octubre de 2026 63%
Noviembre de 2026 14%
Septiembre de 2026 10%
Junio de 2027 6%
Septiembre de 2026
10%
Octubre de 2026
63%
Noviembre de 2026
14%
Diciembre de 2026
5%
Enero de 2027
5%
Febrero de 2027
5%
Marzo de 2027
5%
Abril de 2027
4%
Mayo de 2027
5%
Junio de 2027
6%
Julio de 2027
4%
Agosto de 2027
4%
Septiembre de 2027
4%
Octubre de 2027
1%
Noviembre de 2027
4%
Diciembre de 2027
4%
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
4%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and reported targeting of an October Nasdaq debut, drives the 64% market-implied probability for an October 2026 IPO. Strong revenue growth, including rapid run-rate increases and a recent $65 billion funding round at nearly $1 trillion valuation, supports the timeline as the company positions its Claude large language models against rivals ahead of a potential public listing. Typical three-to-six-month SEC review windows after confidential filings align with fall 2026, while underwriters Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley prepare the deal. Traders weigh market conditions and any last-minute regulatory or competitive shifts that could push the outcome later.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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