Incumbent Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds' retirement has opened Iowa's 2026 gubernatorial race, elevating Democrat State Auditor Rob Sand—who faces no primary challengers—as the presumptive nominee against a fragmented Republican field led by U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra. Recent April polls, including Echelon Insights showing Sand ahead 51%-39%, alongside the Cook Political Report's shift to toss-up status, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 65% implied probability. With the GOP primary looming on June 2 amid reports of Feenstra's support cratering and potential convention, uncertainty in Republican consolidation drives the competitive pricing, though historical Republican dominance in Iowa leaves room for shifts from turnout or late-breaking developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Iowa
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Iowa
$36,067 Vol.
$36,067 Vol.

Demócrata
64%

Republicano
31%
$36,067 Vol.
$36,067 Vol.

Demócrata
64%

Republicano
31%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds' retirement has opened Iowa's 2026 gubernatorial race, elevating Democrat State Auditor Rob Sand—who faces no primary challengers—as the presumptive nominee against a fragmented Republican field led by U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra. Recent April polls, including Echelon Insights showing Sand ahead 51%-39%, alongside the Cook Political Report's shift to toss-up status, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 65% implied probability. With the GOP primary looming on June 2 amid reports of Feenstra's support cratering and potential convention, uncertainty in Republican consolidation drives the competitive pricing, though historical Republican dominance in Iowa leaves room for shifts from turnout or late-breaking developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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