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Política·Rob Sand

Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa

icon for Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa
Política·Rob Sand

Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa

Arrase demócrata 37%

Dems ganan Gobernador, Reps ganan Senado 31%

Arrasan los republicanos 29%

Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 1.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Arrase demócrata 37%

Dems ganan Gobernador, Reps ganan Senado 31%

Arrasan los republicanos 29%

Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado 1.8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Arrase demócrata

$490 Vol.

37%

Dems ganan Gobernador, Reps ganan Senado

$2,101 Vol.

31%

Arrasan los republicanos

$1,062 Vol.

29%

Reps ganan gobernador, Dems ganan Senado

$341 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Iowa's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races remain closely contested after June primaries, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek for the open Senate seat and Democrat Rob Sand opposing Republican Zach Lahn for governor following Kim Reynolds' retirement. Recent polling averages show Hinson holding a narrow edge in the Senate contest while Sand leads by roughly five points for governor, producing ratings from toss-up to lean Republican. These dynamics drive high probabilities on split outcomes and "other" results, as voters weigh independent support, candidate name recognition, and turnout in a state with recent Republican dominance. The wisdom of crowds in the market reflects uncertainty over whether either party can secure both offices amid shifting polling trends and limited national headwinds.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$3,993
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Iowa's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races remain closely contested after June primaries, with Republican Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek for the open Senate seat and Democrat Rob Sand opposing Republican Zach Lahn for governor following Kim Reynolds' retirement. Recent polling averages show Hinson holding a narrow edge in the Senate contest while Sand leads by roughly five points for governor, producing ratings from toss-up to lean Republican. These dynamics drive high probabilities on split outcomes and "other" results, as voters weigh independent support, candidate name recognition, and turnout in a state with recent Republican dominance. The wisdom of crowds in the market reflects uncertainty over whether either party can secure both offices amid shifting polling trends and limited national headwinds.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$3,993
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Arrase demócrata" con 37%, seguido de "Dems ganan Gobernador, Reps ganan Senado" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa" es "Arrase demócrata" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dems ganan Gobernador, Reps ganan Senado" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Combo del Senado y el Gobernador de Iowa" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.