Iran's supreme leader position underwent a historic transition in early 2026 after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes amid the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a unanimous March vote following an interim three-member leadership council that included President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics. This rapid dynastic handover occurred against a backdrop of economic strain, prior domestic protests, and external military pressure, enabling the regime to maintain continuity rather than fragment. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has since reflected the new supreme leader's consolidation of power, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' role in stability, and limited near-term indicators of further upheaval or external intervention through late summer 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$23,549,064 Vol.
22 ago 2026
22 de agosto
1%
31 de agosto
1%
30 de septiembre
5%
31 de octubre
9%
30 de noviembre
12%
31 de diciembre
18%
30 de junio de 2027
27%
$23,549,064 Vol.
22 de agosto
$43,448 Vol.
1%
31 de agosto
$1,170,979 Vol.
1%
30 de septiembre
$463,537 Vol.
5%
31 de octubre
$12,430 Vol.
9%
30 de noviembre
$10,763 Vol.
12%
31 de diciembre
$4,002,104 Vol.
18%
30 de junio de 2027
$237,613 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader position underwent a historic transition in early 2026 after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes amid the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a unanimous March vote following an interim three-member leadership council that included President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics. This rapid dynastic handover occurred against a backdrop of economic strain, prior domestic protests, and external military pressure, enabling the regime to maintain continuity rather than fragment. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has since reflected the new supreme leader's consolidation of power, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' role in stability, and limited near-term indicators of further upheaval or external intervention through late summer 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$23,549,064Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leader position underwent a historic transition in early 2026 after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes amid the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a unanimous March vote following an interim three-member leadership council that included President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics. This rapid dynastic handover occurred against a backdrop of economic strain, prior domestic protests, and external military pressure, enabling the regime to maintain continuity rather than fragment. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has since reflected the new supreme leader's consolidation of power, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' role in stability, and limited near-term indicators of further upheaval or external intervention through late summer 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$23,549,064Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's supreme leader position underwent a historic transition in early 2026 after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's assassination on February 28 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes amid the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in a unanimous March vote following an interim three-member leadership council that included President Masoud Pezeshkian and senior clerics. This rapid dynastic handover occurred against a backdrop of economic strain, prior domestic protests, and external military pressure, enabling the regime to maintain continuity rather than fragment. Trader sentiment on leadership change markets has since reflected the new supreme leader's consolidation of power, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' role in stability, and limited near-term indicators of further upheaval or external intervention through late summer 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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