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icon for ¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?

icon for ¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?
Geopolítica·Israel

¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?

$2,149,489 Vol.

30 dic 2025
Polymarket

$2,149,489 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre de 2026

$687,735 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria have advanced since the 2024 fall of the Assad regime, with high-level meetings in Paris in January 2026 and Jordan in August 2026 aimed at reviving the 1974 Disengagement Agreement. Syrian officials, including Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, seek Israeli withdrawal from southern buffer zones and full sovereignty restoration, while expressing openness to arrangements that could support broader normalization. Israel prioritizes red lines against Iranian or Turkish influence, Druze protections in areas like Suwayda, and retention of strategic positions including the Golan Heights. Recent developments include an August Israeli strike on a Syrian airbase and subsequent de-escalation channels, alongside US sanctions relief and diplomatic pressure under the Trump administration. Persistent gaps over territorial control and trust continue to shape prospects for formal relations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,149,489
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria have advanced since the 2024 fall of the Assad regime, with high-level meetings in Paris in January 2026 and Jordan in August 2026 aimed at reviving the 1974 Disengagement Agreement. Syrian officials, including Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, seek Israeli withdrawal from southern buffer zones and full sovereignty restoration, while expressing openness to arrangements that could support broader normalization. Israel prioritizes red lines against Iranian or Turkish influence, Druze protections in areas like Suwayda, and retention of strategic positions including the Golan Heights. Recent developments include an August Israeli strike on a Syrian airbase and subsequent de-escalation channels, alongside US sanctions relief and diplomatic pressure under the Trump administration. Persistent gaps over territorial control and trust continue to shape prospects for formal relations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,149,489
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 9%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2025" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" ha generado $2.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con solo 9%, con "31 de diciembre de 2025" muy cerca con 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Israel y Siria normalizan las relaciones por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.