Recent polls show Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brigadier General Ofer Winter, hovering near or just above Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with results typically clustering around four seats. This positioning stems from voter shifts within the broader right-religious bloc, where the party's emphasis on military decisiveness, Haredi conscription, and a broad Zionist coalition draws support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit backers. Independent list submission after merger talks collapsed has added fragmentation risk, while the October 27 election timeline and surplus-vote agreements due in mid-October leave limited room for consolidation. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with outcomes near the threshold remaining sensitive to final turnout among overlapping right-wing constituencies and any late campaign developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<4 60%
4-6 34%
7-9 3.1%
10+ 1.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<4
53%
4-6
43%
7-9
3%
10+
1%
<4 60%
4-6 34%
7-9 3.1%
10+ 1.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<4
$1,222 Vol.
53%
4-6
$1,145 Vol.
43%
7-9
$2,059 Vol.
3%
10+
$993 Vol.
1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls show Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brigadier General Ofer Winter, hovering near or just above Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with results typically clustering around four seats. This positioning stems from voter shifts within the broader right-religious bloc, where the party's emphasis on military decisiveness, Haredi conscription, and a broad Zionist coalition draws support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit backers. Independent list submission after merger talks collapsed has added fragmentation risk, while the October 27 election timeline and surplus-vote agreements due in mid-October leave limited room for consolidation. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with outcomes near the threshold remaining sensitive to final turnout among overlapping right-wing constituencies and any late campaign developments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volumen
$5,419Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls show Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brigadier General Ofer Winter, hovering near or just above Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with results typically clustering around four seats. This positioning stems from voter shifts within the broader right-religious bloc, where the party's emphasis on military decisiveness, Haredi conscription, and a broad Zionist coalition draws support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit backers. Independent list submission after merger talks collapsed has added fragmentation risk, while the October 27 election timeline and surplus-vote agreements due in mid-October leave limited room for consolidation. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with outcomes near the threshold remaining sensitive to final turnout among overlapping right-wing constituencies and any late campaign developments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$5,419Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched in late August by former IDF Brigadier General Ofer Winter, hovering near or just above Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with results typically clustering around four seats. This positioning stems from voter shifts within the broader right-religious bloc, where the party's emphasis on military decisiveness, Haredi conscription, and a broad Zionist coalition draws support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit backers. Independent list submission after merger talks collapsed has added fragmentation risk, while the October 27 election timeline and surplus-vote agreements due in mid-October leave limited room for consolidation. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with outcomes near the threshold remaining sensitive to final turnout among overlapping right-wing constituencies and any late campaign developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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