Recent opinion polls from early to mid-June place Likud at 22–24 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus around the 20–24 and 25–29 ranges as the most probable outcomes. The April merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the “Together” slate has strengthened the opposition bloc in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition continues to poll below the 61-seat majority threshold amid ongoing debates over ultra-Orthodox military exemptions and broader security concerns. Legislative elections remain scheduled for October 27, 2026, with no decisive late-breaking developments shifting these projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado25-29 31%
20-24 29%
<20 20.7%
30-34 19%
$31,558 Vol.
$31,558 Vol.
27 oct 2026
<20
21%
20-24
29%
25-29
31%
30-34
19%
35+
4%
25-29 31%
20-24 29%
<20 20.7%
30-34 19%
$31,558 Vol.
$31,558 Vol.
27 oct 2026
<20
$12,968 Vol.
21%
20-24
$2,268 Vol.
29%
25-29
$10,813 Vol.
31%
30-34
$3,397 Vol.
19%
35+
$2,113 Vol.
4%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls from early to mid-June place Likud at 22–24 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus around the 20–24 and 25–29 ranges as the most probable outcomes. The April merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the “Together” slate has strengthened the opposition bloc in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition continues to poll below the 61-seat majority threshold amid ongoing debates over ultra-Orthodox military exemptions and broader security concerns. Legislative elections remain scheduled for October 27, 2026, with no decisive late-breaking developments shifting these projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$31,558Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent opinion polls from early to mid-June place Likud at 22–24 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus around the 20–24 and 25–29 ranges as the most probable outcomes. The April merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the “Together” slate has strengthened the opposition bloc in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition continues to poll below the 61-seat majority threshold amid ongoing debates over ultra-Orthodox military exemptions and broader security concerns. Legislative elections remain scheduled for October 27, 2026, with no decisive late-breaking developments shifting these projections.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$31,558Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls from early to mid-June place Likud at 22–24 Knesset seats, anchoring trader consensus around the 20–24 and 25–29 ranges as the most probable outcomes. The April merger of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid into the “Together” slate has strengthened the opposition bloc in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition continues to poll below the 61-seat majority threshold amid ongoing debates over ultra-Orthodox military exemptions and broader security concerns. Legislative elections remain scheduled for October 27, 2026, with no decisive late-breaking developments shifting these projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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