Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha following the split of the Zionist Home–Reservists alliance, fluctuating near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Some surveys project it securing four seats and aiding an opposition path to a 61-seat majority without Arab parties, while others place it at 1–2% and below the threshold, reflecting volatility after candidate-list submissions closed on September 8. Trader consensus remains evenly divided across narrow vote-share bands because the new alignment's impact on center-right and reservist voters has not yet stabilized, amid broader bloc competition between Likud-led and Yashar-led groupings. Upcoming polls, campaign positioning on conscription and economic priorities, and any late shifts in turnout among service-eligible demographics could widen the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<2,75% 44%
2,75-3,25% 36%
3.75-4.25% 18%
4,25%+ 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<2,75%
45%
2,75-3,25%
36%
3,25-3,75%
11%
3.75-4.25%
18%
4,25%+
17%
<2,75% 44%
2,75-3,25% 36%
3.75-4.25% 18%
4,25%+ 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<2,75%
$142 Vol.
45%
2,75-3,25%
$76 Vol.
36%
3,25-3,75%
$56 Vol.
11%
3.75-4.25%
$46 Vol.
18%
4,25%+
$89 Vol.
17%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha following the split of the Zionist Home–Reservists alliance, fluctuating near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Some surveys project it securing four seats and aiding an opposition path to a 61-seat majority without Arab parties, while others place it at 1–2% and below the threshold, reflecting volatility after candidate-list submissions closed on September 8. Trader consensus remains evenly divided across narrow vote-share bands because the new alignment's impact on center-right and reservist voters has not yet stabilized, amid broader bloc competition between Likud-led and Yashar-led groupings. Upcoming polls, campaign positioning on conscription and economic priorities, and any late shifts in turnout among service-eligible demographics could widen the range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volumen
$408Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha following the split of the Zionist Home–Reservists alliance, fluctuating near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Some surveys project it securing four seats and aiding an opposition path to a 61-seat majority without Arab parties, while others place it at 1–2% and below the threshold, reflecting volatility after candidate-list submissions closed on September 8. Trader consensus remains evenly divided across narrow vote-share bands because the new alignment's impact on center-right and reservist voters has not yet stabilized, amid broader bloc competition between Likud-led and Yashar-led groupings. Upcoming polls, campaign positioning on conscription and economic priorities, and any late shifts in turnout among service-eligible demographics could widen the range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$408Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows the Reservists–New Economic Party, formed in early September after Yoaz Hendel partnered with Yaron Zelekha following the split of the Zionist Home–Reservists alliance, fluctuating near the 3.25% electoral threshold. Some surveys project it securing four seats and aiding an opposition path to a 61-seat majority without Arab parties, while others place it at 1–2% and below the threshold, reflecting volatility after candidate-list submissions closed on September 8. Trader consensus remains evenly divided across narrow vote-share bands because the new alignment's impact on center-right and reservist voters has not yet stabilized, amid broader bloc competition between Likud-led and Yashar-led groupings. Upcoming polls, campaign positioning on conscription and economic priorities, and any late shifts in turnout among service-eligible demographics could widen the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes