Recent polling averages place Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, with most surveys clustering at 7–9. This positioning reflects the ongoing conscription impasse, which has pressured Haredi parties and prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud or Otzma Yehudit. Shas finalized its slate in early September with limited changes, including a military veteran in a mid-tier spot, while internal reconciliation between Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed to stabilize support. Surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic further shape outcomes, as the Netanyahu-aligned parties project near 50 seats overall. These factors sustain trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the modal result, with limited movement expected absent major shifts in turnout or draft legislation before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8-9 40%
10-11 24%
12+ 20%
6-7 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
5%
6-7
17%
8-9
40%
10-11
24%
12+
16%
8-9 40%
10-11 24%
12+ 20%
6-7 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$484 Vol.
5%
6-7
$1,390 Vol.
17%
8-9
$917 Vol.
40%
10-11
$721 Vol.
24%
12+
$1,493 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, with most surveys clustering at 7–9. This positioning reflects the ongoing conscription impasse, which has pressured Haredi parties and prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud or Otzma Yehudit. Shas finalized its slate in early September with limited changes, including a military veteran in a mid-tier spot, while internal reconciliation between Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed to stabilize support. Surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic further shape outcomes, as the Netanyahu-aligned parties project near 50 seats overall. These factors sustain trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the modal result, with limited movement expected absent major shifts in turnout or draft legislation before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$5,006Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, with most surveys clustering at 7–9. This positioning reflects the ongoing conscription impasse, which has pressured Haredi parties and prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud or Otzma Yehudit. Shas finalized its slate in early September with limited changes, including a military veteran in a mid-tier spot, while internal reconciliation between Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed to stabilize support. Surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic further shape outcomes, as the Netanyahu-aligned parties project near 50 seats overall. These factors sustain trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the modal result, with limited movement expected absent major shifts in turnout or draft legislation before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$5,006Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Shas, the Sephardi ultra-Orthodox party led by Aryeh Deri, in the 7–10 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, with most surveys clustering at 7–9. This positioning reflects the ongoing conscription impasse, which has pressured Haredi parties and prompted some traditional voters to shift toward Likud or Otzma Yehudit. Shas finalized its slate in early September with limited changes, including a military veteran in a mid-tier spot, while internal reconciliation between Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef aimed to stabilize support. Surplus agreements and bloc arithmetic further shape outcomes, as the Netanyahu-aligned parties project near 50 seats overall. These factors sustain trader consensus around 8–9 seats as the modal result, with limited movement expected absent major shifts in turnout or draft legislation before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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