Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly seven to eight seats, consistent with a 6-7% national vote share. This positioning reflects stable support among the party's core Haredi constituencies amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and yeshiva funding. Internal factional tensions, including leadership transitions in Degel HaTorah and reported splits within Agudat Yisrael, have introduced some uncertainty but have not materially shifted the party's projected totals in surveys from late August through mid-September. Historical patterns show UTJ typically securing 5.5-6.5% in proportional representation contests when running unified, with current trader consensus aligning closely to these base rates absent major last-minute developments in turnout or coalition signaling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado6-7% 51%
5-6% 39%
<5% 7%
7-8% 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<5%
7%
5-6%
36%
6-7%
51%
7-8%
7%
8%+
3%
6-7% 51%
5-6% 39%
<5% 7%
7-8% 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<5%
$186 Vol.
7%
5-6%
$204 Vol.
36%
6-7%
$160 Vol.
51%
7-8%
$174 Vol.
7%
8%+
$290 Vol.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly seven to eight seats, consistent with a 6-7% national vote share. This positioning reflects stable support among the party's core Haredi constituencies amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and yeshiva funding. Internal factional tensions, including leadership transitions in Degel HaTorah and reported splits within Agudat Yisrael, have introduced some uncertainty but have not materially shifted the party's projected totals in surveys from late August through mid-September. Historical patterns show UTJ typically securing 5.5-6.5% in proportional representation contests when running unified, with current trader consensus aligning closely to these base rates absent major last-minute developments in turnout or coalition signaling.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,015Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly seven to eight seats, consistent with a 6-7% national vote share. This positioning reflects stable support among the party's core Haredi constituencies amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and yeshiva funding. Internal factional tensions, including leadership transitions in Degel HaTorah and reported splits within Agudat Yisrael, have introduced some uncertainty but have not materially shifted the party's projected totals in surveys from late August through mid-September. Historical patterns show UTJ typically securing 5.5-6.5% in proportional representation contests when running unified, with current trader consensus aligning closely to these base rates absent major last-minute developments in turnout or coalition signaling.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by United Torah Judaism party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Torah Judaism's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether United Torah Judaism passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$1,015Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly seven to eight seats, consistent with a 6-7% national vote share. This positioning reflects stable support among the party's core Haredi constituencies amid ongoing debates over military conscription exemptions and yeshiva funding. Internal factional tensions, including leadership transitions in Degel HaTorah and reported splits within Agudat Yisrael, have introduced some uncertainty but have not materially shifted the party's projected totals in surveys from late August through mid-September. Historical patterns show UTJ typically securing 5.5-6.5% in proportional representation contests when running unified, with current trader consensus aligning closely to these base rates absent major last-minute developments in turnout or coalition signaling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes