Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows United Torah Judaism consistently projected at 7 or 8 seats, with occasional 8-seat readings across multiple surveys in early September. This stability stems from the party's entrenched Ashkenazi Haredi voter base, which prioritizes protections for Torah study and military service exemptions. Trader pricing reflects the narrow band because modest gains in turnout or favorable list positioning could push results toward 9-10, while any vote split from emerging Haredi lists or reduced coalition leverage on conscription legislation could hold the party at 7-8. Broader bloc competition and uncertainty over final party alliances keep the 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes closely matched in current market consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones en Israel: ¿UTJ # de escaños?
Elecciones en Israel: ¿UTJ # de escaños?
7-8 47%
9-10 35%
<7 23%
11+ 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<7
23%
7-8
47%
9-10
35%
11+
7%
7-8 47%
9-10 35%
<7 23%
11+ 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<7
$4 Vol.
23%
7-8
$0 Vol.
47%
9-10
$0 Vol.
35%
11+
$301 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows United Torah Judaism consistently projected at 7 or 8 seats, with occasional 8-seat readings across multiple surveys in early September. This stability stems from the party's entrenched Ashkenazi Haredi voter base, which prioritizes protections for Torah study and military service exemptions. Trader pricing reflects the narrow band because modest gains in turnout or favorable list positioning could push results toward 9-10, while any vote split from emerging Haredi lists or reduced coalition leverage on conscription legislation could hold the party at 7-8. Broader bloc competition and uncertainty over final party alliances keep the 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes closely matched in current market consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$306Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows United Torah Judaism consistently projected at 7 or 8 seats, with occasional 8-seat readings across multiple surveys in early September. This stability stems from the party's entrenched Ashkenazi Haredi voter base, which prioritizes protections for Torah study and military service exemptions. Trader pricing reflects the narrow band because modest gains in turnout or favorable list positioning could push results toward 9-10, while any vote split from emerging Haredi lists or reduced coalition leverage on conscription legislation could hold the party at 7-8. Broader bloc competition and uncertainty over final party alliances keep the 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes closely matched in current market consensus.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$306Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows United Torah Judaism consistently projected at 7 or 8 seats, with occasional 8-seat readings across multiple surveys in early September. This stability stems from the party's entrenched Ashkenazi Haredi voter base, which prioritizes protections for Torah study and military service exemptions. Trader pricing reflects the narrow band because modest gains in turnout or favorable list positioning could push results toward 9-10, while any vote split from emerging Haredi lists or reduced coalition leverage on conscription legislation could hold the party at 7-8. Broader bloc competition and uncertainty over final party alliances keep the 7-8 and 9-10 outcomes closely matched in current market consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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