Recent polling averages position Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22–25 seats. Multiple surveys through mid-September show Yashar edging or tying Likud while the broader opposition and government blocs remain short of a 61-seat majority, with Arab parties holding the balance. Small shifts in undecided voters, turnout among security-focused or centrist blocs, and last-minute list adjustments sustain the tight distribution across 20–27 seats. Further separation would require sustained momentum for Eisenkot on governance and inquiry issues, major security developments, or clearer coalition signals before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado24-25 40%
22-23 24%
26-27 19%
<20 13.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<20
13%
20-21
13%
22-23
28%
24-25
34%
26-27
19%
28-29
6%
30+
6%
24-25 40%
22-23 24%
26-27 19%
<20 13.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<20
$232 Vol.
13%
20-21
$442 Vol.
13%
22-23
$802 Vol.
28%
24-25
$847 Vol.
34%
26-27
$693 Vol.
19%
28-29
$292 Vol.
6%
30+
$5,725 Vol.
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages position Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22–25 seats. Multiple surveys through mid-September show Yashar edging or tying Likud while the broader opposition and government blocs remain short of a 61-seat majority, with Arab parties holding the balance. Small shifts in undecided voters, turnout among security-focused or centrist blocs, and last-minute list adjustments sustain the tight distribution across 20–27 seats. Further separation would require sustained momentum for Eisenkot on governance and inquiry issues, major security developments, or clearer coalition signals before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$9,034Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages position Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22–25 seats. Multiple surveys through mid-September show Yashar edging or tying Likud while the broader opposition and government blocs remain short of a 61-seat majority, with Arab parties holding the balance. Small shifts in undecided voters, turnout among security-focused or centrist blocs, and last-minute list adjustments sustain the tight distribution across 20–27 seats. Further separation would require sustained momentum for Eisenkot on governance and inquiry issues, major security developments, or clearer coalition signals before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$9,034Fecha de finalización
30 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position Gadi Eisenkot’s centrist Yashar party at 22–24 seats in the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22–25 seats. Multiple surveys through mid-September show Yashar edging or tying Likud while the broader opposition and government blocs remain short of a 61-seat majority, with Arab parties holding the balance. Small shifts in undecided voters, turnout among security-focused or centrist blocs, and last-minute list adjustments sustain the tight distribution across 20–27 seats. Further separation would require sustained momentum for Eisenkot on governance and inquiry issues, major security developments, or clearer coalition signals before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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