Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, at approximately eight seats, reflecting consistent results across multiple houses in the 6–9 range. This positioning underpins trader consensus around the 8–9 seat bracket as the most probable outcome. The party's secular nationalist platform and surplus-vote agreement with the Together list have provided stability without notable recent surges or declines. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from larger centrist and right-wing parties, continue to limit upside potential, while the 3.25% threshold and typical turnout patterns constrain downside risk below six seats. Scheduled campaign events and final polling shifts in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado8-9 43%
<6 19%
10-11 15%
6-7 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
19%
6-7
12%
8-9
43%
10-11
15%
12+
10%
8-9 43%
<6 19%
10-11 15%
6-7 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6
$1,621 Vol.
19%
6-7
$79 Vol.
12%
8-9
$331 Vol.
43%
10-11
$201 Vol.
15%
12+
$258 Vol.
10%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, at approximately eight seats, reflecting consistent results across multiple houses in the 6–9 range. This positioning underpins trader consensus around the 8–9 seat bracket as the most probable outcome. The party's secular nationalist platform and surplus-vote agreement with the Together list have provided stability without notable recent surges or declines. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from larger centrist and right-wing parties, continue to limit upside potential, while the 3.25% threshold and typical turnout patterns constrain downside risk below six seats. Scheduled campaign events and final polling shifts in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$2,491Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, at approximately eight seats, reflecting consistent results across multiple houses in the 6–9 range. This positioning underpins trader consensus around the 8–9 seat bracket as the most probable outcome. The party's secular nationalist platform and surplus-vote agreement with the Together list have provided stability without notable recent surges or declines. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from larger centrist and right-wing parties, continue to limit upside potential, while the 3.25% threshold and typical turnout patterns constrain downside risk below six seats. Scheduled campaign events and final polling shifts in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$2,491Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, at approximately eight seats, reflecting consistent results across multiple houses in the 6–9 range. This positioning underpins trader consensus around the 8–9 seat bracket as the most probable outcome. The party's secular nationalist platform and surplus-vote agreement with the Together list have provided stability without notable recent surges or declines. Broader bloc dynamics, including competition from larger centrist and right-wing parties, continue to limit upside potential, while the 3.25% threshold and typical turnout patterns constrain downside risk below six seats. Scheduled campaign events and final polling shifts in the coming weeks remain the primary variables that could adjust these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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