Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the KMT nominee seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting his established local support base and survival of a 2024 recall vote. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei trails at 9%, consistent with polling trends that show Hsieh maintaining a lead despite one recent survey indicating a narrow margin and elevated undecided voters. Candidate registration opens later this month, and KMT organizational efforts across northern Taiwan races reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantages in name recognition and party machinery ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
85%
Tung Tzu-wei
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$875 Vol.
85%
Tung Tzu-wei
$315 Vol.
7%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the KMT nominee seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting his established local support base and survival of a 2024 recall vote. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei trails at 9%, consistent with polling trends that show Hsieh maintaining a lead despite one recent survey indicating a narrow margin and elevated undecided voters. Candidate registration opens later this month, and KMT organizational efforts across northern Taiwan races reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantages in name recognition and party machinery ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volumen
$1,190Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the KMT nominee seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting his established local support base and survival of a 2024 recall vote. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei trails at 9%, consistent with polling trends that show Hsieh maintaining a lead despite one recent survey indicating a narrow margin and elevated undecided voters. Candidate registration opens later this month, and KMT organizational efforts across northern Taiwan races reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantages in name recognition and party machinery ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$1,190Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 85% implied probability as the KMT nominee seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting his established local support base and survival of a 2024 recall vote. DPP challenger Tung Tzu-wei trails at 9%, consistent with polling trends that show Hsieh maintaining a lead despite one recent survey indicating a narrow margin and elevated undecided voters. Candidate registration opens later this month, and KMT organizational efforts across northern Taiwan races reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantages in name recognition and party machinery ahead of the vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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