Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$65,492 Vol.
$65,492 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$65,492 Vol.
$65,492 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$36,074 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$29,418 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$65,492Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$65,492Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 6th congressional district underwent significant Republican-led redistricting in 2026 that converted the seat from a majority-Black district carried by Kamala Harris into a majority-white, Republican-leaning constituency in the Baton Rouge area. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields subsequently announced he would not seek re-election. Forecasters now rate the open seat as a solid or safe Republican pickup. Multiple Republican candidates qualified in early August for the November 3 primary, while Democratic entrants remain limited. Trader consensus reflects the district's transformed partisan composition and historical voting patterns in similar redrawn seats. A realistic path for Democrats would require an unusually weak Republican nominee or a sharp national swing against the GOP before the December runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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