Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
LA-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$57,801 Vol.
$57,801 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
77%
Partido Demócrata
18%
$57,801 Vol.
$57,801 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$31,353 Vol.
77%
Partido Demócrata
$26,448 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$57,801Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$57,801Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting negotiations in Louisiana following a Supreme Court ruling that the current congressional map constitutes an unconstitutional racial gerrymander represent the primary driver behind trader positioning in this race. With the state advancing new lines that could alter the district's demographics ahead of the November general election, Republican candidates have emerged as the consensus favorite to capture the seat. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields faces an unopposed path through his party's primary, while four Republicans—Monique Appeaning, Larry Davis, Christian Johnson, and Peter Williams—competed in their May 16 primary under the state's new closed system. These developments, combined with the district's underlying voter composition and recent state-level map revisions, have shaped the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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