The three teams promoted from the 2025-26 Segunda División—Racing Santander, Deportivo La Coruña, and Málaga—enter the 2026-27 La Liga season as the clearest relegation candidates, facing the typical challenge of adapting to a higher level after long absences from the top flight. Opta simulations place Deportivo at the highest risk (29.2% chance of going down), followed closely by Elche, Sevilla, and Racing, with financial constraints, limited squad depth, and recent board instability at clubs like Sevilla adding pressure. Recent La Liga campaigns have featured tight survival battles decided by narrow margins on the final matchdays, underscoring how quickly form, injuries, and results can shift implied probabilities reflected in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMálaga
54%
Racing Santander
52%
Levante
52%
Deportivo La Coruña
52%
Elche
52%
Alavés
52%
Atlético Madrid
50%
Villarreal
50%
Celta Vigo
50%
Espanyol
50%
Getafe
50%
Osasuna
50%
Real Betis
50%
Rayo Vallecano
50%
Valencia
50%
Athletic Bilbao
50%
Barcelona
50%
Real Madrid
50%
Real Sociedad
50%
Sevilla
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Málaga
54%
Racing Santander
52%
Levante
52%
Deportivo La Coruña
52%
Elche
52%
Alavés
52%
Atlético Madrid
50%
Villarreal
50%
Celta Vigo
50%
Espanyol
50%
Getafe
50%
Osasuna
50%
Real Betis
50%
Rayo Vallecano
50%
Valencia
50%
Athletic Bilbao
50%
Barcelona
50%
Real Madrid
50%
Real Sociedad
50%
Sevilla
50%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga.
If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in LaLiga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 LaLiga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by LaLiga.
If the 2026-27 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LaLiga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The three teams promoted from the 2025-26 Segunda División—Racing Santander, Deportivo La Coruña, and Málaga—enter the 2026-27 La Liga season as the clearest relegation candidates, facing the typical challenge of adapting to a higher level after long absences from the top flight. Opta simulations place Deportivo at the highest risk (29.2% chance of going down), followed closely by Elche, Sevilla, and Racing, with financial constraints, limited squad depth, and recent board instability at clubs like Sevilla adding pressure. Recent La Liga campaigns have featured tight survival battles decided by narrow margins on the final matchdays, underscoring how quickly form, injuries, and results can shift implied probabilities reflected in trader positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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