Recent polls ahead of Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election show the United List (AS) leading with roughly 23 percent support, followed by Sovereign Power/Young Latvians, Latvia First (LPV), the Progressives, ZZS, National Alliance (NA), and New Unity (JV) clustered near or above the 5 percent threshold. Multiple surveys from SKDS and Latvijas Fakti project seven parties clearing the barrier and securing seats in the 100-member parliament. Early voting began September 28 with higher-than-expected turnout, while parties have spent over 2.6 million euros on campaigning. The current governing coalition’s mixed record on security and economic issues, combined with undecided voters exceeding 18 percent, keeps final seat allocations fluid until results are certified in mid-October.