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Finanzas·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Finanzas·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 50%

Morgan Stanley 47%

JPMorgan 4.8%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$46,944 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 50%

Morgan Stanley 47%

JPMorgan 4.8%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$46,944 Vol.

Morgan Stanley

$11,142 Vol.

47%

Goldman Sachs

$7,346 Vol.

50%

JPMorgan

$7,038 Vol.

5%

Bank of America

$4,169 Vol.

<1%

Citigroup

$4,355 Vol.

<1%

Barclays

$2,664 Vol.

<1%

UBS

$3,284 Vol.

<1%

Deutsche Bank

$4,228 Vol.

<1%

Wells Fargo

$2,716 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley's near-even market-implied odds of 50.5% and 47.0% reflect their selection as the top bookrunners for Anthropic's planned fall 2026 IPO following the company's June 1 confidential S-1 filing. Both firms hold dominant positions in large technology offerings and stand to capture substantial underwriting fees plus follow-on trading revenue, yet the lead-left designation remains undecided amid the need to manage conflicts with rival OpenAI's parallel process through walled-off teams. Anthropic's rapid revenue expansion—reportedly surging over 14-fold in the second quarter—bolsters the deal's appeal and supports a potential valuation exceeding prior $965 billion levels. JPMorgan's 4.9% odds underscore its supporting role, while the tight spread highlights how minor differences in relationship management or syndicate structuring could determine the outcome ahead of any September-October window.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$46,944
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley's near-even market-implied odds of 50.5% and 47.0% reflect their selection as the top bookrunners for Anthropic's planned fall 2026 IPO following the company's June 1 confidential S-1 filing. Both firms hold dominant positions in large technology offerings and stand to capture substantial underwriting fees plus follow-on trading revenue, yet the lead-left designation remains undecided amid the need to manage conflicts with rival OpenAI's parallel process through walled-off teams. Anthropic's rapid revenue expansion—reportedly surging over 14-fold in the second quarter—bolsters the deal's appeal and supports a potential valuation exceeding prior $965 billion levels. JPMorgan's 4.9% odds underscore its supporting role, while the tight spread highlights how minor differences in relationship management or syndicate structuring could determine the outcome ahead of any September-October window.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$46,944
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Goldman Sachs" con 50%, seguido de "Morgan Stanley" con 47%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" ha generado $46.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" es "Goldman Sachs" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Morgan Stanley" con 47%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.