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Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang

icon for Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang
Política·Taiwán

Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang

Wang Chung-ming 84%

Tsao Erh-yuan 4.0%

Tsao Erh-chang <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Wang Chung-ming 84%

Tsao Erh-yuan 4.0%

Tsao Erh-chang <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Wang Chung-ming

Wang Chung-ming

$3,403 Vol.

84%

icon for Tsao Erh-yuan

Tsao Erh-yuan

$641 Vol.

4%

icon for Tsao Erh-chang

Tsao Erh-chang

$749 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Wang Chung-ming holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the Lienchiang County magistrate race, reflecting his status as the sitting KMT magistrate since late 2022 and the party's consistent dominance in the Matsu Islands electorate. Prior local contests, including the 2022 vote where he defeated fellow KMT contender Tsao Erh-yuan, established a clear baseline of support that has not faced notable recent challenges or announced rival campaigns. Low probabilities attached to Tsao Erh-yuan, Tsao Erh-chang, and a long list of other named options align with the absence of fresh polling shifts, party nomination disputes, or cross-strait policy developments that might alter the competitive landscape ahead of the scheduled 2026 balloting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$4,793
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Wang Chung-ming holds the strongest position in trader consensus for the Lienchiang County magistrate race, reflecting his status as the sitting KMT magistrate since late 2022 and the party's consistent dominance in the Matsu Islands electorate. Prior local contests, including the 2022 vote where he defeated fellow KMT contender Tsao Erh-yuan, established a clear baseline of support that has not faced notable recent challenges or announced rival campaigns. Low probabilities attached to Tsao Erh-yuan, Tsao Erh-chang, and a long list of other named options align with the absence of fresh polling shifts, party nomination disputes, or cross-strait policy developments that might alter the competitive landscape ahead of the scheduled 2026 balloting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$4,793
Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Wang Chung-ming" con 84%, seguido de "Tsao Erh-yuan" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 14, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang" es "Wang Chung-ming" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tsao Erh-yuan" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de magistrado del condado de Lienchiang" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.