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icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Karen Bass 59%

Spencer Pratt 25%

Nithya Raman 17%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$1,757,802 Vol.

Karen Bass 59%

Spencer Pratt 25%

Nithya Raman 17%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$1,757,802 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$64,121 Vol.

59%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$749,714 Vol.

25%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$88,102 Vol.

17%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$119,557 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$71,351 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$63,761 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$16,144 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$15,987 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$442,497 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$100,426 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$26,142 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, buoyed by a fresh LA Times poll showing her ahead among likely voters ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, though short of a majority that would avoid a November top-two runoff. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt's surge to 24.5% stems from strong debate performances last week blasting Bass on homelessness, public safety, and affordability, coupled with top fundraising and celebrity endorsements channeling voter frustration. Councilmember Nithya Raman holds 16.5% via robust fundraising and progressive appeals, positioning her neck-and-neck with Pratt for a potential runoff spot amid undecided voters and recent campaign ad backlash.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$1,757,802
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability to win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, buoyed by a fresh LA Times poll showing her ahead among likely voters ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary, though short of a majority that would avoid a November top-two runoff. Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt's surge to 24.5% stems from strong debate performances last week blasting Bass on homelessness, public safety, and affordability, coupled with top fundraising and celebrity endorsements channeling voter frustration. Councilmember Nithya Raman holds 16.5% via robust fundraising and progressive appeals, positioning her neck-and-neck with Pratt for a potential runoff spot amid undecided voters and recent campaign ad backlash.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$1,757,802
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Karen Bass" con 59%, seguido de "Spencer Pratt" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" ha generado $1.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es "Karen Bass" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Spencer Pratt" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.