Recent independent polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, the party founded by Rupert Lowe, at around 7 percent, behind Labour and Reform UK. This positioning reflects limited national name recognition for the four-month-old party and competition for right-leaning voters from the larger Reform campaign. Canvassing returns released by Restore Britain claiming higher local support have not been corroborated by third-party surveys, contributing to trader expectations that the party will finish below the 10 percent threshold. With the contest less than two weeks away, no major late developments have shifted the established polling picture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección parcial de Makerfield: ¿Restore Britain recibe más del 10%?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 jun 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent independent polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, the party founded by Rupert Lowe, at around 7 percent, behind Labour and Reform UK. This positioning reflects limited national name recognition for the four-month-old party and competition for right-leaning voters from the larger Reform campaign. Canvassing returns released by Restore Britain claiming higher local support have not been corroborated by third-party surveys, contributing to trader expectations that the party will finish below the 10 percent threshold. With the contest less than two weeks away, no major late developments have shifted the established polling picture.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volumen
$1,546Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).Recent independent polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, the party founded by Rupert Lowe, at around 7 percent, behind Labour and Reform UK. This positioning reflects limited national name recognition for the four-month-old party and competition for right-leaning voters from the larger Reform campaign. Canvassing returns released by Restore Britain claiming higher local support have not been corroborated by third-party surveys, contributing to trader expectations that the party will finish below the 10 percent threshold. With the contest less than two weeks away, no major late developments have shifted the established polling picture.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$1,546Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent independent polling for the June 18 Makerfield by-election places Restore Britain, the party founded by Rupert Lowe, at around 7 percent, behind Labour and Reform UK. This positioning reflects limited national name recognition for the four-month-old party and competition for right-leaning voters from the larger Reform campaign. Canvassing returns released by Restore Britain claiming higher local support have not been corroborated by third-party surveys, contributing to trader expectations that the party will finish below the 10 percent threshold. With the contest less than two weeks away, no major late developments have shifted the established polling picture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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