Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in federal races, reinforced by the open seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. Her decisive August 11 primary win over U.S. Representative Angie Craig, combined with statewide name recognition as lieutenant governor and endorsements from party leaders, has solidified her position ahead of the November general election. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but enters as a political newcomer in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Minnesota
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Republicano
9%
$47,494 Vol.
$47,494 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 Vol.
91%
Republicano
$15,862 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in federal races, reinforced by the open seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. Her decisive August 11 primary win over U.S. Representative Angie Craig, combined with statewide name recognition as lieutenant governor and endorsements from party leaders, has solidified her position ahead of the November general election. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but enters as a political newcomer in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$47,494Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in federal races, reinforced by the open seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. Her decisive August 11 primary win over U.S. Representative Angie Craig, combined with statewide name recognition as lieutenant governor and endorsements from party leaders, has solidified her position ahead of the November general election. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but enters as a political newcomer in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$47,494Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in federal races, reinforced by the open seat after incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring Peggy Flanagan. Her decisive August 11 primary win over U.S. Representative Angie Craig, combined with statewide name recognition as lieutenant governor and endorsements from party leaders, has solidified her position ahead of the November general election. Michele Tafoya secured the Republican nomination but enters as a political newcomer in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health issues, or sharp national political shifts could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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