Ongoing stadium negotiations in Vancouver create the tight 53% implied probability on a relocation announcement by year-end, balancing April 2026 MLS owner discussions of a potential move—particularly to Las Vegas—with more recent efforts to secure long-term stability at BC Place. The Whitecaps' July proposal to assume management control of the venue, mirroring setups like Toronto FC at BMO Field, aims to boost revenue and scheduling autonomy amid the team's prolonged sale process and prior MOU for a new Hastings Park facility through December 2026. Provincial clarification that BC Place is not for sale adds uncertainty, while the lack of a confirmed local buyer sustains relocation pressure. Confirmation of an improved operating agreement or new stadium terms before the MOU expires could solidify the team's stay, whereas stalled talks, a U.S. buyer, or league owner vote could accelerate an announcement and shift sentiment toward relocation.