Missouri's 8th Congressional District, with its R+27 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's commanding 76% victory margin in 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Smith filed for reelection in March 2026, leveraging his Ways and Means Committee chairmanship despite a contested August 4 GOP primary against challengers including Chris Reichard and Clayton Harbison. Democrats, led by candidates like Frank Barnitz, face steep barriers in this rural conservative stronghold absent national polling shifts. While odds exceed 90%, a GOP primary upset yielding a weak nominee, major scandal, legal challenges, or unforeseen health issues could introduce volatility ahead of early voting and election night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$29,190 Vol.
$29,190 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$29,190 Vol.
$29,190 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,978 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$10,212 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 8th Congressional District, with its R+27 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's commanding 76% victory margin in 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Smith filed for reelection in March 2026, leveraging his Ways and Means Committee chairmanship despite a contested August 4 GOP primary against challengers including Chris Reichard and Clayton Harbison. Democrats, led by candidates like Frank Barnitz, face steep barriers in this rural conservative stronghold absent national polling shifts. While odds exceed 90%, a GOP primary upset yielding a weak nominee, major scandal, legal challenges, or unforeseen health issues could introduce volatility ahead of early voting and election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$29,190Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 8th Congressional District, with its R+27 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's commanding 76% victory margin in 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Smith filed for reelection in March 2026, leveraging his Ways and Means Committee chairmanship despite a contested August 4 GOP primary against challengers including Chris Reichard and Clayton Harbison. Democrats, led by candidates like Frank Barnitz, face steep barriers in this rural conservative stronghold absent national polling shifts. While odds exceed 90%, a GOP primary upset yielding a weak nominee, major scandal, legal challenges, or unforeseen health issues could introduce volatility ahead of early voting and election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,190Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 8th Congressional District, with its R+27 Cook PVI and incumbent Rep. Jason Smith's commanding 76% victory margin in 2024, drives trader consensus to 92.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Smith filed for reelection in March 2026, leveraging his Ways and Means Committee chairmanship despite a contested August 4 GOP primary against challengers including Chris Reichard and Clayton Harbison. Democrats, led by candidates like Frank Barnitz, face steep barriers in this rural conservative stronghold absent national polling shifts. While odds exceed 90%, a GOP primary upset yielding a weak nominee, major scandal, legal challenges, or unforeseen health issues could introduce volatility ahead of early voting and election night.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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