Tesla's board has repeatedly denied any formal CEO succession process, while Elon Musk has publicly recommitted to leading the company full-time after scaling back his government role, driving the 96.4% market-implied odds against his departure before 2027. A shareholder-approved $1 trillion performance package, vesting through 2035 and tied to market-cap and operational milestones such as robotaxi deployment and Optimus deliveries, further aligns incentives for continuity and boosts Musk's voting power. Recent product teases, including the upcoming Roadster event, and ongoing strategic discussions around potential SpaceX integration underscore his active leadership without signs of exit. Low-probability disruptors remain possible, including sudden personal circumstances, regulatory actions on autonomous vehicle approvals, or an abrupt board reversal, though current filings and statements show no supporting catalysts.