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Política·Elección Principal

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Política·Elección Principal

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 48%

Stefan Evers 35%

Werner Graf 12%

Steffen Krach 6.1%

Polymarket

$27,071 Vol.

Elif Eralp 48%

Stefan Evers 35%

Werner Graf 12%

Steffen Krach 6.1%

Polymarket

$27,071 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$10,345 Vol.

48%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$9,816 Vol.

35%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$4,757 Vol.

12%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$745 Vol.

6%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$1,408 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin state election on September 20 will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus, which then elects the next Governing Mayor. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field in which Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds a narrow lead over CDU replacement candidate Stefan Evers, with Green, SPD, and AfD contenders trailing. Evers assumed the CDU top spot in mid-July after Kai Wegner withdrew amid criticism of the party’s response to a major power outage. Recent polling shows support divided among five parties near or below 20 percent each, complicating coalition arithmetic and leaving open multiple paths to a majority. Housing shortages, public safety, and budget pressures remain central campaign issues that could still shift voter blocs before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,071
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin state election on September 20 will determine the composition of the Abgeordnetenhaus, which then elects the next Governing Mayor. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field in which Elif Eralp of Die Linke holds a narrow lead over CDU replacement candidate Stefan Evers, with Green, SPD, and AfD contenders trailing. Evers assumed the CDU top spot in mid-July after Kai Wegner withdrew amid criticism of the party’s response to a major power outage. Recent polling shows support divided among five parties near or below 20 percent each, complicating coalition arithmetic and leaving open multiple paths to a majority. Housing shortages, public safety, and budget pressures remain central campaign issues that could still shift voter blocs before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$27,071
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Elif Eralp" con 48%, seguido de "Stefan Evers" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ha generado $27.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" es "Elif Eralp" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Stefan Evers" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.