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icon for ¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

icon for ¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

¿Próximo actor de James Bond?

Ningún James Bond elegido 71%

Callum Turner 11.2%

Jacob Elordi 3.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$2,175,715 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido 71%

Callum Turner 11.2%

Jacob Elordi 3.3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$2,175,715 Vol.

icon for Ningún James Bond elegido

Ningún James Bond elegido

$267,491 Vol.

71%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$143,356 Vol.

11%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$257,762 Vol.

3%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$116,351 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$78,569 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$315,036 Vol.

1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$156,755 Vol.

1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy

Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy

$84,410 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$40,347 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$225,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton

$121,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$189,611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$88,361 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$43,191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$47,340 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 71% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon confirmation that the search for Bond 26's 007—under director Denis Villeneuve—is proceeding with deliberate care post-Dune: Part Three, shutting down rampant casting rumors. Persistent but unverified buzz positions Callum Turner as the distant frontrunner at 13%, fueled by his rising star power in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, British heritage, and February Berlin Film Festival speculation he coyly addressed. Jacob Elordi's 3% reflects recent Oscar-nominated momentum from Saltburn and Euphoria, yet guild-like scrutiny and historical franchise caution keep the field wide open ahead of mid-2026 casting tests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,175,715
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 71% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' April CinemaCon confirmation that the search for Bond 26's 007—under director Denis Villeneuve—is proceeding with deliberate care post-Dune: Part Three, shutting down rampant casting rumors. Persistent but unverified buzz positions Callum Turner as the distant frontrunner at 13%, fueled by his rising star power in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, British heritage, and February Berlin Film Festival speculation he coyly addressed. Jacob Elordi's 3% reflects recent Oscar-nominated momentum from Saltburn and Euphoria, yet guild-like scrutiny and historical franchise caution keep the field wide open ahead of mid-2026 casting tests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,175,715
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 71%, seguido de "Callum Turner" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" ha generado $2.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 4, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" es "Ningún James Bond elegido" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Callum Turner" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo actor de James Bond?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.