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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 32%

Christine Fréchette 10.4%

Éric Duhaime 4.3%

Polymarket

$24,672 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%

Charles Milliard 32%

Christine Fréchette 10.4%

Éric Duhaime 4.3%

Polymarket

$24,672 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$4,458 Vol.

56%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,628 Vol.

32%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,089 Vol.

11%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,020 Vol.

4%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,217 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner for Quebec premier after the October 2026 general election, driven by recent polling that shows the PQ tied or narrowly ahead of the Quebec Liberals while maintaining stronger support in francophone ridings. This distribution favors the PQ in seat projections under the first-past-the-post system, despite ongoing debates over sovereignty proposals. Christine Fréchette’s April 2026 victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership race installed her as the current premier, yet the governing party’s support remains below 20 percent amid voter fatigue following François Legault’s departure. Charles Milliard’s Liberals sit close in aggregate numbers, while Éric Duhaime’s Conservatives and minor parties draw limited shares that further fragment the field. Upcoming summer polling and campaign events could narrow or widen these gaps before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,672
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus positions Paul St-Pierre Plamondon of the Parti Québécois as the frontrunner for Quebec premier after the October 2026 general election, driven by recent polling that shows the PQ tied or narrowly ahead of the Quebec Liberals while maintaining stronger support in francophone ridings. This distribution favors the PQ in seat projections under the first-past-the-post system, despite ongoing debates over sovereignty proposals. Christine Fréchette’s April 2026 victory in the Coalition Avenir Québec leadership race installed her as the current premier, yet the governing party’s support remains below 20 percent amid voter fatigue following François Legault’s departure. Charles Milliard’s Liberals sit close in aggregate numbers, while Éric Duhaime’s Conservatives and minor parties draw limited shares that further fragment the field. Upcoming summer polling and campaign events could narrow or widen these gaps before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$24,672
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Premier of Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 56%, seguido de "Charles Milliard" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Premier of Quebec" ha generado $24.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Premier of Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Premier of Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Charles Milliard" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Premier of Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.