Jess Wilson, the Liberal leader and opposition head since late 2025, holds the strongest position ahead of the November 28, 2026 Victorian state election. Recent DemosAU polling shows the Coalition leading Labor 55-45 on two-party preferred, with Wilson preferred as premier over Ben Carroll by 43-34. Wilson has sustained momentum through policy releases on justice reforms, bail changes, a 10-year economic plan, housing supply, and a first-100-days agenda focused on policing and cost-of-living measures. Traders price Wilson at 63.5 percent as the next premier, with Carroll at 20.5 percent and lower odds for Allan, One Nation’s Warren Pickering, and other Labor figures, consistent with consistent Coalition polling leads and the structural challenges facing the incumbent government.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJess Wilson 63%
Ben Carroll 20%
Warren Pickering 11%
Jacinta Allan 4.3%
$10,577 Vol.
$10,577 Vol.
Jess Wilson
63%
Ben Carroll
20%
Warren Pickering
11%
Jacinta Allan
4%
Emma Kealy
4%
Sonya Kilkenny
4%
Steve Dimopoulos
4%
Gabrielle Williams
3%
David Southwick
3%
Brad Battin
<1%
James Newbury
<1%
Danny O'Brien
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
Sam Groth
<1%
Jess Wilson 63%
Ben Carroll 20%
Warren Pickering 11%
Jacinta Allan 4.3%
$10,577 Vol.
$10,577 Vol.
Jess Wilson
63%
Ben Carroll
20%
Warren Pickering
11%
Jacinta Allan
4%
Emma Kealy
4%
Sonya Kilkenny
4%
Steve Dimopoulos
4%
Gabrielle Williams
3%
David Southwick
3%
Brad Battin
<1%
James Newbury
<1%
Danny O'Brien
<1%
Ellen Sandell
<1%
Jaclyn Symes
<1%
Sam Groth
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jess Wilson, the Liberal leader and opposition head since late 2025, holds the strongest position ahead of the November 28, 2026 Victorian state election. Recent DemosAU polling shows the Coalition leading Labor 55-45 on two-party preferred, with Wilson preferred as premier over Ben Carroll by 43-34. Wilson has sustained momentum through policy releases on justice reforms, bail changes, a 10-year economic plan, housing supply, and a first-100-days agenda focused on policing and cost-of-living measures. Traders price Wilson at 63.5 percent as the next premier, with Carroll at 20.5 percent and lower odds for Allan, One Nation’s Warren Pickering, and other Labor figures, consistent with consistent Coalition polling leads and the structural challenges facing the incumbent government.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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