Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition People's Party amid a fragile PSOE minority government facing coalition erosion, multiple corruption probes, and the Ceuta migrant crisis. Recent developments include the September 2026 decision to try Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s wife on influence-peddling charges and ongoing fallout from party scandals, which have further damaged Sánchez’s standing ahead of the 2027 election deadline. Polling trends show the PP competitive or ahead, often requiring Vox support for a majority, while Sánchez’s implied probability sits at 13%. Traders view these pressures as tilting the parliamentary arithmetic toward a center-right transition, though the timing of any snap vote or coalition realignment remains uncertain.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 13.0%
Santiago Abascal 5.3%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso 3.4%
$131,633 Vol.
$131,633 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
13%
Santiago Abascal
5%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
3%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 13.0%
Santiago Abascal 5.3%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso 3.4%
$131,633 Vol.
$131,633 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
13%
Santiago Abascal
5%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
3%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition People's Party amid a fragile PSOE minority government facing coalition erosion, multiple corruption probes, and the Ceuta migrant crisis. Recent developments include the September 2026 decision to try Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s wife on influence-peddling charges and ongoing fallout from party scandals, which have further damaged Sánchez’s standing ahead of the 2027 election deadline. Polling trends show the PP competitive or ahead, often requiring Vox support for a majority, while Sánchez’s implied probability sits at 13%. Traders view these pressures as tilting the parliamentary arithmetic toward a center-right transition, though the timing of any snap vote or coalition realignment remains uncertain.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes