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Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Mundo·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia

Magdalena Andersson 69%

Ulf Kristersson 29%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,954,312 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 69%

Ulf Kristersson 29%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%

Ebba Busch <1%

Polymarket

$1,954,312 Vol.

icon for Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson

$73,940 Vol.

69%

icon for Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson

$65,954 Vol.

29%

icon for Jimmie Åkesson

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,345,020 Vol.

2%

icon for Ebba Busch

Ebba Busch

$288,450 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anna-Karin Hatt

Anna-Karin Hatt

$22,898 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amanda Lind

Amanda Lind

$30,257 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simona Mohamsson

Simona Mohamsson

$48,580 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Helldén

Daniel Helldén

$36,465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nooshi Dadgostar

Nooshi Dadgostar

$22,418 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$20,331 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus show Sweden’s Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest claim to form the next government. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic conditions under incumbent Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson’s April announcement of plans for a four-party majority government that would include the Sweden Democrats has not reversed the projected narrow Red-Green seat advantage. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc conventionally becomes prime minister, which continues to anchor trader consensus around Andersson while keeping Kristersson’s implied probability well behind.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954,312
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus show Sweden’s Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest claim to form the next government. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic conditions under incumbent Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson’s April announcement of plans for a four-party majority government that would include the Sweden Democrats has not reversed the projected narrow Red-Green seat advantage. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc conventionally becomes prime minister, which continues to anchor trader consensus around Andersson while keeping Kristersson’s implied probability well behind.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,954,312
Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Magdalena Andersson" con 69%, seguido de "Ulf Kristersson" con 29%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" ha generado $2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" es "Magdalena Andersson" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ulf Kristersson" con 29%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Suecia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.