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icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rebeca Grynspan 35%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 21.9%

Rafael Grossi 14%

María Fernanda Espinosa 12.3%

Polymarket

$194,425 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 35%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 21.9%

Rafael Grossi 14%

María Fernanda Espinosa 12.3%

Polymarket

$194,425 Vol.

icon for Rebeca Grynspan

Rebeca Grynspan

$18,394 Vol.

35%

icon for Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett

$3,636 Vol.

22%

icon for Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

$26,833 Vol.

14%

icon for María Fernanda Espinosa

María Fernanda Espinosa

$7,255 Vol.

12%

icon for Macky Sall

Macky Sall

$120,820 Vol.

7%

icon for Michelle Bachelet

Michelle Bachelet

$11,952 Vol.

3%

icon for Olara Otunnu

Olara Otunnu

$2,927 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivonne de Baki

Ivonne de Baki

$2,609 Vol.

1%

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The informal regional rotation convention strongly favors a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group for the post succeeding António Guterres at the end of 2026. Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 placed Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at the top of the field, with Rafael Grossi close behind, reflecting their respective records at UNCTAD, as Guyana’s UN permanent representative, and as IAEA director general. Multiple rounds of voting remain ahead, and no candidate has yet secured the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving room for shifts based on permanent-member preferences and potential withdrawals. Trader consensus assigns Grynspan the leading position amid this fluid process.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$194,425
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The informal regional rotation convention strongly favors a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group for the post succeeding António Guterres at the end of 2026. Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 placed Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at the top of the field, with Rafael Grossi close behind, reflecting their respective records at UNCTAD, as Guyana’s UN permanent representative, and as IAEA director general. Multiple rounds of voting remain ahead, and no candidate has yet secured the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving room for shifts based on permanent-member preferences and potential withdrawals. Trader consensus assigns Grynspan the leading position amid this fluid process.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$194,425
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rebeca Grynspan" con 35%, seguido de "Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" ha generado $194.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 21, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" es "Rebeca Grynspan" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.