The informal regional rotation convention strongly favors a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group for the post succeeding António Guterres at the end of 2026. Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 placed Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at the top of the field, with Rafael Grossi close behind, reflecting their respective records at UNCTAD, as Guyana’s UN permanent representative, and as IAEA director general. Multiple rounds of voting remain ahead, and no candidate has yet secured the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving room for shifts based on permanent-member preferences and potential withdrawals. Trader consensus assigns Grynspan the leading position amid this fluid process.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca Grynspan 35%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 21.9%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.3%
$194,425 Vol.
$194,425 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
35%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
22%

Rafael Grossi
14%

María Fernanda Espinosa
12%

Macky Sall
7%

Michelle Bachelet
3%

Olara Otunnu
2%

Ivonne de Baki
1%
Rebeca Grynspan 35%
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 21.9%
Rafael Grossi 14%
María Fernanda Espinosa 12.3%
$194,425 Vol.
$194,425 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan
35%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
22%

Rafael Grossi
14%

María Fernanda Espinosa
12%

Macky Sall
7%

Michelle Bachelet
3%

Olara Otunnu
2%

Ivonne de Baki
1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The informal regional rotation convention strongly favors a candidate from the Latin American and Caribbean Group for the post succeeding António Guterres at the end of 2026. Security Council straw polls in July and August 2026 placed Rebeca Grynspan and Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett at the top of the field, with Rafael Grossi close behind, reflecting their respective records at UNCTAD, as Guyana’s UN permanent representative, and as IAEA director general. Multiple rounds of voting remain ahead, and no candidate has yet secured the nine encourage votes needed for a recommendation, leaving room for shifts based on permanent-member preferences and potential withdrawals. Trader consensus assigns Grynspan the leading position amid this fluid process.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes