Nevada's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, with primaries in June 2026 selecting Republican nominee David Flippo, who secured former President Trump's endorsement, and Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district maintains a Republican partisan voting index around R+7, supporting consistent historical preference for GOP candidates in general elections. Forecasters rate the race as Safe or Likely Republican, though a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head margin. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the district's structural lean and post-primary consolidation around Flippo, while the Democratic share at 22% accounts for potential turnout shifts or campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-02
$29,571 Vol.
$29,571 Vol.
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Demócrata
22%
$29,571 Vol.
$29,571 Vol.
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Demócrata
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nevada's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following the retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei, with primaries in June 2026 selecting Republican nominee David Flippo, who secured former President Trump's endorsement, and Democratic nominee Teresa Benitez-Thompson. The district maintains a Republican partisan voting index around R+7, supporting consistent historical preference for GOP candidates in general elections. Forecasters rate the race as Safe or Likely Republican, though a July poll showed a narrow head-to-head margin. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the district's structural lean and post-primary consolidation around Flippo, while the Democratic share at 22% accounts for potential turnout shifts or campaign dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes