The open seat in New York’s 21st congressional district, following Elise Stefanik’s bid for governor, has drawn attention, yet the area’s consistent Republican lean—evidenced by a 20-point Trump margin in 2024—anchors trader consensus around the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino at 79.5%. Constantino secured the Republican primary with strong turnout, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s nomination. An internal Democratic poll shortly after the June primaries showed a near tie, briefly narrowing perceived gaps, but analysts emphasize the district’s partisan voting index and structural advantages that favor the Republican candidate in the November general election. Ongoing party dynamics within the GOP have sustained limited Democratic optimism without shifting the broader outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-21
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-21
$52,095 Vol.
$52,095 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
80%
Partido Demócrata
19%
$52,095 Vol.
$52,095 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$24,404 Vol.
80%
Partido Demócrata
$27,692 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New York’s 21st congressional district, following Elise Stefanik’s bid for governor, has drawn attention, yet the area’s consistent Republican lean—evidenced by a 20-point Trump margin in 2024—anchors trader consensus around the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino at 79.5%. Constantino secured the Republican primary with strong turnout, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s nomination. An internal Democratic poll shortly after the June primaries showed a near tie, briefly narrowing perceived gaps, but analysts emphasize the district’s partisan voting index and structural advantages that favor the Republican candidate in the November general election. Ongoing party dynamics within the GOP have sustained limited Democratic optimism without shifting the broader outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$52,095Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New York’s 21st congressional district, following Elise Stefanik’s bid for governor, has drawn attention, yet the area’s consistent Republican lean—evidenced by a 20-point Trump margin in 2024—anchors trader consensus around the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino at 79.5%. Constantino secured the Republican primary with strong turnout, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s nomination. An internal Democratic poll shortly after the June primaries showed a near tie, briefly narrowing perceived gaps, but analysts emphasize the district’s partisan voting index and structural advantages that favor the Republican candidate in the November general election. Ongoing party dynamics within the GOP have sustained limited Democratic optimism without shifting the broader outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$52,095Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in New York’s 21st congressional district, following Elise Stefanik’s bid for governor, has drawn attention, yet the area’s consistent Republican lean—evidenced by a 20-point Trump margin in 2024—anchors trader consensus around the GOP nominee Anthony Constantino at 79.5%. Constantino secured the Republican primary with strong turnout, while Democrat Blake Gendebien won his party’s nomination. An internal Democratic poll shortly after the June primaries showed a near tie, briefly narrowing perceived gaps, but analysts emphasize the district’s partisan voting index and structural advantages that favor the Republican candidate in the November general election. Ongoing party dynamics within the GOP have sustained limited Democratic optimism without shifting the broader outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes