Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election shows the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) holding steady in the low-20s popular vote, tied or close with the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place behind the Parti Québécois. Trader consensus around 28–35 seats reflects the party’s heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters on the Island of Montreal, where it remains dominant, contrasted with weaker francophone support province-wide that produces inefficient seat conversion. Multiple regional toss-ups, limited movement after recent debates, and competition from the surging Conservatives keep outcomes clustered in the low-30s range. Further shifts in suburban or francophone turnout, or late swings in key ridings, could push results higher or lower within the narrow band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 24%
36-39 5.5%
$25,118 Vol.
$25,118 Vol.
5 oct 2026
<28
27%
28-31
35%
32-35
24%
36-39
6%
40-43
2%
44+
2%
28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 24%
36-39 5.5%
$25,118 Vol.
$25,118 Vol.
5 oct 2026
<28
$4,654 Vol.
27%
28-31
$5,039 Vol.
35%
32-35
$7,007 Vol.
24%
36-39
$5,508 Vol.
6%
40-43
$1,501 Vol.
2%
44+
$1,408 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election shows the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) holding steady in the low-20s popular vote, tied or close with the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place behind the Parti Québécois. Trader consensus around 28–35 seats reflects the party’s heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters on the Island of Montreal, where it remains dominant, contrasted with weaker francophone support province-wide that produces inefficient seat conversion. Multiple regional toss-ups, limited movement after recent debates, and competition from the surging Conservatives keep outcomes clustered in the low-30s range. Further shifts in suburban or francophone turnout, or late swings in key ridings, could push results higher or lower within the narrow band.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volumen
$25,118Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election shows the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) holding steady in the low-20s popular vote, tied or close with the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place behind the Parti Québécois. Trader consensus around 28–35 seats reflects the party’s heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters on the Island of Montreal, where it remains dominant, contrasted with weaker francophone support province-wide that produces inefficient seat conversion. Multiple regional toss-ups, limited movement after recent debates, and competition from the surging Conservatives keep outcomes clustered in the low-30s range. Further shifts in suburban or francophone turnout, or late swings in key ridings, could push results higher or lower within the narrow band.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$25,118Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election shows the Parti Libéral du Québec (PLQ) holding steady in the low-20s popular vote, tied or close with the Coalition Avenir Québec for second place behind the Parti Québécois. Trader consensus around 28–35 seats reflects the party’s heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters on the Island of Montreal, where it remains dominant, contrasted with weaker francophone support province-wide that produces inefficient seat conversion. Multiple regional toss-ups, limited movement after recent debates, and competition from the surging Conservatives keep outcomes clustered in the low-30s range. Further shifts in suburban or francophone turnout, or late swings in key ridings, could push results higher or lower within the narrow band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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