Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+5, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. Carey's established fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. With primaries concluded and no major late developments reported that would alter the district's structural tilt, the market reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions closer to election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-15
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-15
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
79%
Partido Demócrata
20%
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,609 Vol.
79%
Partido Demócrata
$5,891 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+5, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. Carey's established fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. With primaries concluded and no major late developments reported that would alter the district's structural tilt, the market reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions closer to election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$10,501Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+5, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. Carey's established fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. With primaries concluded and no major late developments reported that would alter the district's structural tilt, the market reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions closer to election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,501Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index around R+5, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. Carey's established fundraising and name recognition as the sitting representative further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. With primaries concluded and no major late developments reported that would alter the district's structural tilt, the market reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant shifts in turnout or national conditions closer to election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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