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icon for Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

icon for Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor

John Malkovich 29.0%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$115,431 Vol.

John Malkovich 29.0%

Matt Damon 27%

Andrew Scott 18%

Tom Cruise 15%

Polymarket

$115,431 Vol.

icon for John Malkovich

John Malkovich

$7,153 Vol.

29%

icon for Matt Damon

Matt Damon

$34,077 Vol.

27%

icon for Andrew Scott

Andrew Scott

$12,034 Vol.

18%

icon for Tom Cruise

Tom Cruise

$11,044 Vol.

15%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$4,364 Vol.

9%

icon for Sebastian Stan

Sebastian Stan

$2,765 Vol.

2%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$4,039 Vol.

2%

icon for Ryan Gosling

Ryan Gosling

$4,778 Vol.

2%

icon for Timothée Chalamet

Timothée Chalamet

$3,693 Vol.

1%

icon for Jaafar Jackson

Jaafar Jackson

$4,211 Vol.

1%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$4,572 Vol.

1%

icon for Pedro Pascal

Pedro Pascal

$3,076 Vol.

1%

icon for Javier Bardem

Javier Bardem

$2,900 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brad Pitt

Brad Pitt

$8,112 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Driver

Adam Driver

$2,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert Aramayo

Robert Aramayo

$3,115 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Turturro

John Turturro

$1,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$1,537 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a tightly contested early field anchored by Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey and John Malkovich’s career-highlight performance as a reflective CIA operative in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine.** Recent Venice and Telluride buzz has lifted Malkovich into the narrow lead at 29.4% implied probability, narrowing the gap with Damon at 26.5% as critics highlight both films’ awards trajectories. Andrew Scott (18.0%) benefits from strong precursor positioning in a prestige drama, while Tom Cruise (13.5%) draws support from the perennial “first Oscar” narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger. Lower-priced contenders like Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await fall festival reactions and guild nominations to clarify momentum, underscoring how critical reception, overdue narratives, and blockbuster scale continue to shape the wide-open contest ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$115,431
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader sentiment for the 2027 Best Actor race reflects a tightly contested early field anchored by Matt Damon’s physically demanding lead turn as Odysseus in Christopher Nolan’s summer blockbuster The Odyssey and John Malkovich’s career-highlight performance as a reflective CIA operative in Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine.** Recent Venice and Telluride buzz has lifted Malkovich into the narrow lead at 29.4% implied probability, narrowing the gap with Damon at 26.5% as critics highlight both films’ awards trajectories. Andrew Scott (18.0%) benefits from strong precursor positioning in a prestige drama, while Tom Cruise (13.5%) draws support from the perennial “first Oscar” narrative in Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger. Lower-priced contenders like Robert Pattinson, Jeremy Strong, and Sebastian Stan await fall festival reactions and guild nominations to clarify momentum, underscoring how critical reception, overdue narratives, and blockbuster scale continue to shape the wide-open contest ahead of nominations.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$115,431
Fecha de finalización
14 mar 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Malkovich" con 29%, seguido de "Matt Damon" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 29¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" ha generado $115.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 28, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" es "John Malkovich" con 29%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 29% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Matt Damon" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Oscar 2027: Ganador como mejor actor" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.