Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOttawa Mayoral Election Winner
Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Mark Sutcliffe 72%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%
Alex Lawson <1%
$12,577 Vol.
$12,577 Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
72%
Jeff Leiper
22%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%
Alex Lawson
1%
Catherine McKenney
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 72%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%
Alex Lawson <1%
$12,577 Vol.
$12,577 Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
72%
Jeff Leiper
22%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%
Alex Lawson
1%
Catherine McKenney
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes