Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean where he won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns and Boyle’s established incumbency. His Republican opponent, Jessica Arriaga, advanced unopposed through the May primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition in this urban stronghold. Trader consensus at roughly 94-95% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions and historical base rates for safe seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
PA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$35,660 Vol.
$35,660 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,352 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$29,308 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean where he won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns and Boyle’s established incumbency. His Republican opponent, Jessica Arriaga, advanced unopposed through the May primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition in this urban stronghold. Trader consensus at roughly 94-95% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions and historical base rates for safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,660Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean where he won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns and Boyle’s established incumbency. His Republican opponent, Jessica Arriaga, advanced unopposed through the May primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition in this urban stronghold. Trader consensus at roughly 94-95% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions and historical base rates for safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,660Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 2nd congressional district, a Philadelphia-based seat with a strong Democratic lean where he won reelection in 2024 by a wide margin. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan voting patterns and Boyle’s established incumbency. His Republican opponent, Jessica Arriaga, advanced unopposed through the May primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition in this urban stronghold. Trader consensus at roughly 94-95% for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions and historical base rates for safe seats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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