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icon for Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)
Elecciones·Elecciones En Perú

Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)

icon for Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)
Elecciones·Elecciones En Perú

Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)

Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 37%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 24%

Fujimori 0,1–0,2% 22%

Fujimori 0–0,1% 8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$146,449 Vol.

Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 37%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3% 24%

Fujimori 0,1–0,2% 22%

Fujimori 0–0,1% 8%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$146,449 Vol.

Fujimori 1%+

$5,465 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,9–1,0%

$3,929 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,8–0,9%

$3,400 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,7–0,8%

$4,195 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,6–0,7%

$4,139 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,5–0,6%

$3,569 Vol.

<1%

Fujimori 0,4–0,5%

$6,017 Vol.

3%

Fujimori 0.3–0.4%

$9,695 Vol.

37%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$7,414 Vol.

24%

Fujimori 0,1–0,2%

$9,199 Vol.

22%

Fujimori 0–0,1%

$19,947 Vol.

8%

Sánchez 0–0.1%

$9,567 Vol.

4%

Sánchez 0,1–0,2%

$7,349 Vol.

1%

Sánchez 0,2–0,3%

$5,805 Vol.

3%

Sánchez 0,3–0,4%

$5,082 Vol.

1%

Sánchez 0,4–0,5%

$5,559 Vol.

1%

Sánchez 0,5–0,6%

$4,817 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0,6–0,7%

$5,581 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0.7–0.8%

$8,519 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 0.8–0.9%

$4,256 Vol.

1%

Sánchez 0,9–1,0%

$4,631 Vol.

<1%

Sánchez 1%+

$4,525 Vol.

<1%

Otro

$3,978 Vol.

<1%

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally tight result, with official tallies at 95 percent counted showing Sánchez ahead by roughly 0.2 percentage points after Fujimori led early returns from urban and coastal areas. Rural and Andean ballots have since narrowed the gap further, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian elections where late-counted regions shift margins. Traders have priced the outcome in the narrowest 0.1-point brackets because full certification and any recounts could extend into July, leaving room for small adjustments that favor Fujimori in the consensus view. The race's polarization around crime and institutional stability has kept both candidates' support bases highly mobilized, limiting the scope for larger swings.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$146,449
Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The June 7 runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez produced an exceptionally tight result, with official tallies at 95 percent counted showing Sánchez ahead by roughly 0.2 percentage points after Fujimori led early returns from urban and coastal areas. Rural and Andean ballots have since narrowed the gap further, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian elections where late-counted regions shift margins. Traders have priced the outcome in the narrowest 0.1-point brackets because full certification and any recounts could extend into July, leaving room for small adjustments that favor Fujimori in the consensus view. The race's polarization around crime and institutional stability has kept both candidates' support bases highly mobilized, limiting the scope for larger swings.

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$146,449
Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Fujimori 0.3–0.4%" con 37%, seguido de "Fujimori 0.2–0.3%" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)" ha generado $146.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)" es "Fujimori 0.3–0.4%" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Fujimori 0.2–0.3%" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.