The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlex Smalley 16.5%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
Ludvig Aberg 14.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.4%
$6,155,294 Vol.
$6,155,294 Vol.
18 may 2026
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
David Puig
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.5%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
Ludvig Aberg 14.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.4%
$6,155,294 Vol.
$6,155,294 Vol.
18 may 2026
Alex Smalley
$210,517 Vol.
17%
Jon Rahm
$286,012 Vol.
15%
Ludvig Aberg
$175,608 Vol.
14%
Rory McIlroy
$459,578 Vol.
12%
Xander Schauffele
$368,401 Vol.
7%
Nick Taylor
$135,934 Vol.
5%
Scottie Scheffler
$641,096 Vol.
5%
Patrick Reed
$92,759 Vol.
4%
Aaron Rai
$65,377 Vol.
4%
Maverick McNealy
$71,021 Vol.
3%
Matti Schmid
$80,026 Vol.
3%
Chris Gotterup
$97,481 Vol.
2%
Justin Rose
$126,253 Vol.
2%
Min Woo Lee
$157,820 Vol.
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
$119,082 Vol.
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
$115,288 Vol.
2%
Joaquin Niemann
$53,083 Vol.
1%
Brooks Koepka
$117,113 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$46,318 Vol.
1%
Cameron Smith
$55,009 Vol.
1%
Cameron Young
$289,394 Vol.
1%
Sam Burns
$52,908 Vol.
1%
Kurt Kitayama
$132,054 Vol.
1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
1%
Rickie Fowler
$85,149 Vol.
1%
Bud Cauley
$41,536 Vol.
1%
David Puig
$56,643 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,622 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,412 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$64,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$59,258 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$51,135 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$136,443 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$104,756 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,794 Vol.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 Vol.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 Vol.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$52,789 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,241 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$10,945 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 Vol.
<1%
John Parry
$877 Vol.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,746 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volumen
$6,155,294Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,155,294Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes