Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,678,442 Vol.
$8,678,442 Vol.
18 may 2026
Aaron Rai
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,678,442 Vol.
$8,678,442 Vol.
18 may 2026
Aaron Rai
$304,871 Vol.
100%
Scottie Scheffler
$757,459 Vol.
<1%
Rory McIlroy
$839,705 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$296,075 Vol.
<1%
Jon Rahm
$715,827 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$509,558 Vol.
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
$306,758 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$162,805 Vol.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$184,481 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$125,896 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 Vol.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$125,271 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$85,949 Vol.
<1%
Alex Smalley
$377,275 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,029 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Smith
$146,359 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,791 Vol.
<1%
Justin Rose
$177,264 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,039 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Reed
$179,933 Vol.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$163,763 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$132,700 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$59,500 Vol.
<1%
Ben Griffin
$53,171 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$80,009 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$3,816 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Nick Taylor
$241,580 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Matti Schmid
$277,045 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volumen
$8,678,442Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$8,678,442Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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